Last week, SeeDubya and the Other McCain put up posts about Lt. Col. Allen West, who is the Republican challenger to Democrat Ron Klein in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District. That’s not actually my congressional district–I live in the 20th, safely secure for the Democrats, my congresswoman having been most recently seen all over national TV touting for Hillary Clinton in connection to the Florida Non-Primary (could be worse–if I lived about ten minutes east, I’d have Alcee Hastings)–but close enough to attract my attention. And having paid attention, I come away less enthusiastic.
First off, there is the Congressional District itself:

If it looks contorted, that’s Alcee Hastings’s fault–his district immediately adjoins FL22 on the west, and was one of those districts drawn to ensure election of a black congressman. In 2000, incumbent Republican Clay Shaw won re-election by a margin of 599 votes, and redistricting followed this up by taking away from him the heavily Democratic sections of North Miami Beach, Aventura and Sunny Isles, and giving him as replacement a marginally more Republican territory extending north into Palm Beach County. Shaw won re-election in 2002 and 2004 by wide margins (over sixty percent both times), even though the district went for Kerry over Bush by a small margin. (Gore beat Bush in the 2000 version of FL22.) In 2006, he lost to Klein, a well known member of the state legislature, by a relatively small margin. The main stretch of FL22 is centered on the canalfront homes and ocean view condos of Fort Lauderdale, and hence is dominated by the sort of retirees and very well heeled found in those places. (West himself lives in one of the western extensions (more or less under the Interstate 595 symbol on this map) Klein won in 2006 due in large part to an ad campaign that painted Shaw as a politician in bed with the drug companies and aiming to gut Social Security–aimed directly at the district’s core demographic. Less obvious from the map is the fact that it shares with Hastings’s district one of the most substantial (in terms of percentage of the overall population) gay communities in the country (supposedly second only to San Francisco). West makes much of the fact that polling shows less than half of the district’s population think has a favorable view of Klein–but that should be seen in the perspective of the same polling showing a relatively small number of voters have such a low opinion of of him that they are prepared to vote for Klein’s opponent no matter what, and that the “low favorable” rating is actually not much less than the percentage of the vote Klein gained in the 2006 election.
Now for West himself:
First off is the fact that he’s a relative newcomer to Broward County–he came here in 2004 after retiring from the Army, and the biography on his campaign website does not indicate any earlier ties to South Florida. While it’s true that Hillary Clinton lived in New York for much less time than four years when she ran for US Senate, Lt. Col. West does not have the name recognition she did.
Second, there is the incident which caused the end of his career in the Army. However honorably the facts should be viewed in his favor, one knows the campaign ad that is waiting to be sprung on him by Election Day: “Not only does he approve torture, he practiced it himself!”
Then there is his plans for Iraq and immigration, which can be summarized as making the US Army the Border Patrol of Iraq and making the US Border Patrol the Army.
He proposes that the US military take charge of border security for Iraq, and leave security in the main part of the country to the Iraqis themselves; while he wants to put the US Border Patrol under the supervision of the Department of Defense. He criticizes “responsible redployment” aka withdrawal, but his plan for Iraq sounds rather like another form of withdrawal–and there’s some practical questions I would have about how the transition would work.
He’s also somewhat self contradictory. He calls for budget rollbacks across the board and of course the end of earmarks and pork. But he’s apparently not above proposing some pork being sent to South Florida in the name of “Energy Independence”.
The sugar fields of South Florida can provide us with an environmentally safe and sustainable fuel resource. The Brazilians have been producing sugar ethanol for years and we need to do the same. We need to work with the Brazilians to learn the proven methods of producing sugar ethanol, and reduce or eliminate the import tax on Brazilian ethanol. We need leaders in Washington who realize the treasure that we possess in South Florida.
In other words, increased sugar subsidies.
His immigration platform seems to have been written without paying attention to where he is. The illegal immigrants here are generally the type who overstayed visas or came with false documents. The 9-11 hijackers who attended flight school here in Florida were good examples of that. A border fence is nice, but useless here. Our border is the Atlantic Ocean on one side, the Gulf of Mexico on the other, and the Florida Straits between. It’s boatloads of Haitians and Cubans who are the problem here.
As such, his immigration platform has much less appeal than it would have in places like Arizona or Texas.
His statement on Israel was, on the other hand, obviously written to appeal to the many Jews in this area. But it has a bit of unreality–he wants to make Israel a member of NATO.
His education platform is rather confused, too. He was a high school teacher before he became a candidate, and correctly criticizes the rush to standardized testing. But he doesn’t have any actual proposals to help the situation, beyond getting local businessmen to come in as guest teachers. He doesn’t even mention vouchers.
And then, as a final perplexing note, there is his appearance at an anti-CAIR rally. I don’t particularly like CAIR myself, but the reasoning behind that rally is a bit problematic. CAIR was holding a fundraiser/meeting at the Broward County Convention Center, and the rally, along with such websites as FrontPageMag (follow the links from The Other McCain), was pushing Broward County to force a cancellation of the event, and tried to portray the county government as being overfriendly to CAIR. First off, the Broward Convention Center is a public facility that rents out its premises for meetings, banquets, and other events. I’m not sure it could have kept CAIR away in the first place, and I’m fairly certain the County Government does not have the power to interfere with the Center’s management in such situations. It certainly would have allowed CAIR to file a nice lawsuit and wail about being a victim if the County had done so. However, to suggest that the Broward County Commission is somehow a supporter of Hamas and other Arab terrorists is a bit ludicrous: at least three out of nine commissioners are Jewish, and two of the others may be Jewish (but I’m not sure). Yet Lt.Col. West appeared at this rather nonsensical rally; he was in fact the featured speak. Perhaps he still too new to the area to realize the absurdity.
But all these things together leave me with the impression of a man who is not practical enough to mount a successful challenge to an incumbent who is not only well known but relatively well respected.
Tags: politics, Allen West, Florida elections
June 16, 2008 at 1:59 am |
Hey Kish, check your inbox.
June 16, 2008 at 2:24 am |
KIishnevi–
Yeah, maybe.
Maybe.
But he’s obviously got his head screwed on straight about the big national issues, and the 22nd district could do a lot worse. for example, it’s no skin off your nose if Rep. West wants to build a fence in Texas, New mexico, and California. And the country would benefit from it.
June 16, 2008 at 2:58 am |
See-Dubya
But it is skin off our nose locally if visa enforcement and other similar measures are not focused on. Outside of northern and western Palm Beach (Foley’s old stomping grounds) and the southern end of Dade County (RosLehtinen country) immigration has a very different look here than it does in most other parts of the country. [Those are the two main agricultural areas, and therefore the areas of South Florida where the concentration of illegal immigrants are highest.] For one thing, fewer illegals, and they mix in better; for another, they are often from the Caribbean islands, and instead of being Hispanic they’re black. And for another thing, there’s an enormous amount of immigrants, period–probably as high as California or Texas, possibly even higher, in terms of percentage of population–and most of them are legally here, and often enough citizens by now. This is particularly so in Miami-Dade. Fort Lauderdale is less so (and FL22 in particular has a very low percentage of Hispanics).
After I posted, it hit me that his Iraq proposal really combines the disadvantages of withdrawing with the disadvantages of staying, and none of the benefits of either.
It’s the impracticalities of a lot of what he’s saying, and the impracticality of saying it in the context of this district, that hit me.
His issues page doesn’t even touch on one thing that would be very pertinent to FL22–defending the Bush tax cuts and opposing Obama’s tax raises. I gave the demographics in the main post, so you’ll see that Obama’s plans to tax the rich would have a very practical application to a lot of the people in the district (assuming they vote here, and don’t keep those expensive condos simply as winter homes).
And thanks for coming by.
June 20, 2008 at 8:41 pm |
I think you and Rep. Klein are going to be very surprised come November. There are some serious issues headed Klein’s way: he’s a follower of a party that proposes to double capital gains tax on retirees!!! Not good. Klein has no problem supporting Obama, but many in his district don’t trust Obama. Klein is clueless on energy. He offers no leadership, as he basically follows party lines on everything. It’s gonna be tough for a big time Lib, polished politician, to overcome voters disgust for such people. And as West becomes known Klein may see a tidal wave his $3 million dollars in campaign cash can’t overcome.
June 20, 2008 at 9:25 pm |
I’m not for Klein. I’m a Libertarian, and was just trying to shine some reality on SeeDubya’s enthusiasm. You point out the tax issue–that’s the best shot West has, and his website doesn’t even mention it (unless it’s been updated in the last few days). Instead he picks on immigration, which isn’t worth much in this part of the state. It’s a poor candidate who can’t mold his campaign to match what the voters are actually interested in, and so far West doesn’t seem to have done that.
There’s also another problem I didn’t mention in the post–you remember some of those Jewish retirees who wouldn’t vote for Obama because he’s the “shvartzeh”? Well, at least some of them live in FL22–and this time the shvartzeh has a Jewish opponent. No way will West get those votes.
June 20, 2008 at 9:44 pm |
I’ve worked with the Jewish people here in CD-22 for over a decade…. and one thing rules over everything else: their livelihood. Most live off a lifetime of hard work that brought them a nice little nest egg. Klein and his buddies are openly telling them that they are going to double their taxes!!! No way they vote their bank account away in an area where the cost of living has risen through the roof.
June 21, 2008 at 12:48 am |
I agree with you on the importance of taxes as an issue. West’s problem is that he seems to disagree with both of us: he’s not talking about taxes; he’s talking about immigration. I just double checked: his issues pages talks about the National Debt and cutting back on spending, but absolutely nothing about taxes. Presumably West opposed Obama’s plan, but there’s nothing on there to hint at that. He should campaign on an anti tax platform, but he’s not doing that–at least not yet. He’s talking about completely different issues–and issues moreover that don’t mean nearly as much to people around here. That’s not the way to win an election.